By prolonging the GOP primary season with a strong
come-from-behind win in South Carolina -- one that exposed new and serious
doubts about Mitt Romney -- Newt Gingrich has almost certainly increased the
general-election chances of the man he calls "the most dangerous president of
our lifetime," Barack Obama.
That's because, as my colleague Reid Wilson has argued, Romney
must still be considered the "overwhelming front-runner" for the Republican
nomination. But the former governor is fumbling badly in the race. Now, to
counter Gingrich's surge and frontal assault against him as a "Massachusetts
moderate," Romney has no choice but to lurch even further rightward (something
he'll need to do also to sell his record at Bain Capital more effectively).
Taken together with a new set of GOP primary rules that
allocate delegates proportionally rather than in a winner-takes-all distribution
until April -- except for Florida -- this means Romney will need to stake out
positions that are far more Gingrich-like and thus less appealing to centrists
and independents in the general election.
And Romney is already pushing the envelope on
that trend, sowing doubt among those in the center who were considering him as
an alternative to Obama.
His rhetoric, in other words, was already getting more and
more Newtonian, and now you can expect it to go even further to the right.
That spells trouble in November. Gingrich still has very low
favorability ratings and the mistrust of the general public -- worse numbers, in
fact, than Obama. As Romney strives to become more like Newt, he may end up
looking a lot less like a president.
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